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Saturday, July 30, 2011

Podcast: The Week Ahead: Peru's New President, Press Freedom in Ecuador, U.S. Congress

Adam discusses challenges facing newly inaugurated President Ollanta Humala in Peru; Ecuadorian President Rafael Correa's lawsuit against a newspaper; cuts in U.S. aid to Mexico and other ways that the U.S. Congress is affecting Latin America policy.

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Thursday, June 30, 2011

Podcast: The Week Ahead: Free trade, drug reports, Hugo Chávez

Adam goes over the Colombia and Panama free-trade agreements currently stalled in Congress, UN and U.S. findings about cocaine production, and increasing uncertainty in Venezuela about Hugo Chávez's health.

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Thursday, June 16, 2011

Podcast: The Week Ahead: U.S. weapons in Mexico, Central America security conference, Bolivia coca

Adam looks at a new Senate report on U.S. weapons' illegal flow into violence-wracked Mexico, next week's citizen security conference of Central American governments and donor nations, and security and coca-growing developments in Bolivia.

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Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Podcast: "Consolidating Peace" in Colombia?: Presentation by Adam Isacson

Audio of Adam Isacson's presentation on efforts to "consolidate" security and governance in Colombia, given on June 13, 2011 at "Colombia 2020," a conference organized by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Audio of the full event is available at the CSIS website, and a PDF of the PowerPoint presentation Adam used is below.

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Friday, June 10, 2011

Podcast: Trends in Latin American military spending: a conversation with SIPRI's Carina Solmirano

Carina Solmirano, a researcher at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), talked to Adam Isacson and Lucila Santos about military expenditure in Latin America following the release of SIPRI Yearbook 2011.

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Solmirano co-authored the Yearbook's chapter on global military spending (a free download of the chapter is available here - click on “Sample Chapter”). She pursued her doctoral studies at the University of Denver and previously worked on defense and regional security issues in Argentina. She is part of SIPRI's Military Expenditure Project, which monitors developments in military spending worldwide and maintains the most comprehensive, consistent and extensive data source available on the topic.

SIPRI's 2011 Yearbook revealed interesting aspects of the military expenditure landscape in Latin America:

-Surprisingly, South America is the region of the world where military spending grew most rapidly, by 5.8%, a total of US$63.3 billion. This is in stark contrast with a global rise in military expenditure of 1.3% in 2010. However, in absolute terms, South America continues to be one of the regions that spends the least on its militaries. To add some perspective, the US$63.3 billion spent by South America is slightly above that spent by France alone, and represents only 4% of the total global expenditure.

-Much of it has to do with Brazil’s increase in military expenditure with a 9.3% rise in the last year. Between 2001 and 2010, Brazilian military spending increased 30%. In 2010, Brazil’s share of GDP in military spending was 1.6%, compared with 2.1% of the world share.

-Brazil, along with the United States and several other big countries, is leading the global rise in military spending. Together with Russia, China, India, South Africa and Turkey, SIPRI explains that Brazil’s increase in military expenditure is due to a rapidly growing economy and its greater economic and political role in South America, Latin America, and globally. Brazil is developing, like the other countries, as a military power by engaging in military modernization programs. In Brazil’s case, its economic growth has been a key driver of the military modernization and spending. SIPRI also claims that, given Brazil's absence of traditional military threats or regional rivalries, the investment in its military may respond to the desire of building military power as a source of status.

-Curiously enough, Paraguay and Peru had military expenditure increases of 16%.

-The only exceptions to the rise in military spending in South America during 2010 have been Venezuela, Bolivia and Uruguay. In Venezuela’s case, the decline in expenditure was 27%, the highest drop in the region. Another not-expected case is that of Mexico, which despite deploying the military to fight internally against drug-trafficking, has only shown an increase of 2% in its military spending.

-Finally, some observations about SIPRI’s data: measured in US dollars, Brazil is the country that spent the most militarily (US$28,096), followed by Colombia (US$9,191) and Chile (US$6,198). Even more interesting is when we look at military expenditures as a share of each country’s GDP. In Brazil’s case is 1.6%, while Colombia and Chile show the higher percentages of their GDP spent in the military: 3.7% and 3.5% respectively.

Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Podcast: The Week Ahead: Ollanta Humala, OAS Citizen Security, Mexico violence

Adam reviews Ollanta Humala's first moves as Peru's president-elect, the OAS General Assembly and upcoming Central American summit focused on citizen security, and trends in Mexico's violent organized crime.

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Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Podcast: The Week Ahead: Peru elections, Colombia working group, Brazil forestry law

Adam looks at Peru's presidential vote, which is four days away; the "high level partnership dialogue" that has many Colombian diplomats visiting Washington; and a bill before Brazil's Congress that may make it easier to cut down the Amazon rainforest.

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Friday, May 27, 2011

Podcast: "Successes, Failures and Losses": Daniel Mejía on drug policy

In this 50th episode of the Just the Facts Podcast, Adam talks with Daniel Mejía, an economist from Colombia's Universidad de los Andes, who just co-edited a book, "Éxitos, fracasos y extravíos," which thoroughly critiques, and proposes alternatives to, the U.S.-backed anti-drug policy in Colombia.

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Thursday, May 26, 2011

Podcast: The Week Ahead: Zelaya's return, Colombia's Victims' Law, PDVSA Sanctions

Adam looks at the Cartagena Accord allowing deposed President Manuel Zelaya to return to Honduras, the Victims and Land Restitution Law that passed Colombia's Senate, and the impact of U.S. sanctions on Venezuela's state oil company.

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Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Podcast: The Week Ahead: Massacre in Guatemala, Peru elections, is Colombia in an armed conflict?

Adam discusses what we know about an apparent Zetas massacre of 27 people in Guatemala's Petén, the campaign for Peru's June 5 presidential runoff, and an argument between President Juan Manuel Santos and former President Álvaro Uribe.

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